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Budget 2021

How will Budget 2021 help to reinvent New Zealand?

New Zealand’s 2021 Budget has been announced. 

 

This is a return to a more conventional Labour Government Budget with some big spending initiatives to reflect the Government’s agenda, the focus of which is wellbeing. Treasury forecasts suggest things are looking up, and the economy is recovering quicker than expected following COVID-19. 

The Government has struck a careful balance between keeping debt under control and additional spending. The focus of the spending has been on increasing welfare payments, infrastructure investment and funding their reform agenda across health, education, three waters and climate change. It is less clear how this Budget will help businesses to continue their recovery in a COVID-19 world.

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Economy

What is the continued impact of COVID-19?

Given the exceptional uncertainty following the COVID-19 pandemic, the New Zealand economy has proved to be more resilient than anticipated. This provides hope that the intergenerational cost of the pandemic may not be as severe as previously thought.

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Budget 2021 - Economy

Fiscal response

When is the economy expected to recover?

The fiscal outlook continues to show signs of improvement with the majority of fiscal indicators stronger than previously expected. However, due to the continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, core Crown expenditure is forecast to increase to combat and secure New Zealand’s recovery.

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Budget 2021 - Fiscal response

Market insights

Relative to 2020, Budget 2021 is comparatively upbeat, the sentiment supported by marked improvements in the Government’s forecasted operating deficits, net debt levels, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). 

The immediate financial market response was muted. The Budget document, while offering some spending and forecast surprises, contained little of direct impact to the markets. A $10 billion reduction in planned debt issuance was the most notable, but did not impact sovereign debt yields or the interest rate swap curve. 

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Budget 2021 - Market insights

Māori

We’re excited to see the investments going into the wellbeing of whānau and hapori Māori. The housing crisis and COVID-19 have highlighted the challenges and inequities facing our people.  

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Budget 2021 - Maori

Wellbeing

In the wake of the pandemic, the Government is faced with a unique opportunity to build back social and economic conditions that are more equitable and accessible for all New Zealanders. Budget 2021 has capitalised on this opportunity by allocating substantial funds to a range of initiatives that very clearly address the five enduring wellbeing objectives.

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Budget 2021 - Health

Sustainability

As anticipated, the ‘securing our recovery’, Wellbeing Budget 2021 puts a clear focus on ensuring that funding is directed to assisting those disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, namely low income households and the tourism sector. However, the critical importance of addressing climate change has not been overlooked, as evidenced by its consideration across the Summary of Initiatives. 

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Budget 2021 - Sustainability

Watch our pre-Budget videos

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Tax

Tax Partner, Sandy Lau shares her thoughts on Budget 2021 including the anticipated release of updated tax policy work programme.

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0:44

Sustainability

Sustainability and Climate Change Lead Partner, Annabell Chartres discusses key highlights of Budget 2021 for sustainability.

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Infrastructure

Capital and Infrastructure Partner, Natalie McClew addresses the key role infrastructure plays for Budget 2021.

Contact us

Colin Lynch

Partner, Wellington, PwC New Zealand

+64 21 241 7752

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Annabell Chartres

Partner, Sustainability and Climate Change Leader, Auckland, PwC New Zealand

+64 21 799 927

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John Schellekens

Partner, Auckland, PwC New Zealand

+64 27 489 9541

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Natalie McClew

Partner, Auckland, PwC New Zealand

+64 21 280 4631

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Dr Monique Faleafa

Partner, Auckland, PwC New Zealand

+64 27 2135166

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Robert Fisher

Technology Consulting Lead Partner, Wellington, PwC New Zealand

+64 277 622 433

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Sandy Lau

Partner, Wellington, PwC New Zealand

+64 21 494 117

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Tamati Shepherd-Wipiiti

Partner, National Health Practice Leader, Wellington, PwC New Zealand

+64 22 012 0844

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Wayne Tainui

Partner, Māori Sector Leader, Waikato, PwC New Zealand

+64 21 354 105

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Mike Shirley

Associate Director, Wellington, PwC New Zealand

+64 274 809 770

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Dan Marshall

Partner, Wellington, PwC New Zealand

+64 27 322 7781

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